IN A chaotic close to President Donald Trump’s first year as
president, the US government has careened into an embarrassing shutdown.
The US government has careened into an embarrassing shutdown
after senators failed to bring forward a stopgap motion to temporarily fund
operations.
The government ran out of money on Friday at midnight local
time (4pm Saturday AEDT).
An eleventh-hour effort to stave off the shutdown for four
weeks appeared to fall well short in the Senate, and legislators pre-emptively
traded blame as the midnight deadline neared.
It’s a chaotic close to President Donald Trump’s first year
as president. He begins the first anniversary of his inauguration on Saturday
as the head of an administration that is out of funds.
He hasn’t yet given his first State of the Union but he’s
already preparing for Trump 2020.
Just 12 months after the President stood on the inauguration
stage and vowed an end to “American carnage” he has given the public “whiplash”
with the cycle of tweets, scandals and staff movements.
One year into the Trump presidency, here’s a look at the
good, the bad and the ugly so far.
THE GOOD
It’s the economy, stupid
It might have taken until December but Trump claimed a
victory with new tax laws that cut the corporate tax rate from 35 per cent to
21 per cent and slashed top personal tax rates to 37 per cent. The move has
already led Apple to announce it would repatriate its huge offshore cash
hoardings of $252 billion to invest in the US and helped push the stockmarket
to record highs, boosting investor wealth and pension savings.
While current Wall Street “euphoria” is part of a bigger
picture as the world recovers from the financial crisis, many analysts have
credited it to the pro-business administration. Unemployment is down over the
year, while US consumer confidence has reached a 17-year high.
‘Repeal and replace’ Obamacare
Success here depends on your interpretation, but after
having promised to repeal Obamacare on ‘day one’ and many failed attempts,
Republicans managed to remove a requirement for people to get health insurance
or pay a fine. Trump claims that means ‘job done’, but much of the original law
is still in place.
The end of ISIS
The Islamic State has been forced into retreat with Iraq
declaring a victory over the terror group late last year. Again, it’s tricky to
say were credit for this really lies, but Trump supporters say his stepping up
the pressure has secured a victory.
Council on Foreign Relations expert Paul Stares said despite
fears Trump would prove a “human wrecking ball”, his first year has seen
continuity in terms of ISIS, Afghanistan and Russia while being “lucky” not to
experience a “full-blown crisis.”
“He could be faced with not one crisis but a collection of
them simultaneously which could really stress the system [in 2018],” he said.
Mueller closes in
Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation is a
huge black cloud that dogs the administration and appears to be moving closer
to the President’s inner circle.
We already know Trump’s son, Don Jr, Jared Kushner and then
campaign manager Paul Manafort met with a Russian lawyer during the
presidential race. Manafort and a business associate have been charged for
conspiracy, money laundering and violations of lobbying laws over activities
not directly linked to the campaign.
Former foreign policy adviser George Papadopoulos has also
pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI. Surprisingly, Trump himself has refrained
from criticising Mueller in his wideranging tweets in a sign he may be
listening to the lawyers on this one.
‘You’re fired’
White House staff turnover this year would make even the
producers of The Apprentice blush. Michael Flynn, Reince Priebus, Sean Spicer
and Anthony Scaramucci have all been and gone, with the team finally settling
under chief of staff, General John Kelly.
Trump’s sacking of FBI director James Comey is particularly
contentious as it raised questions about whether the President pressured him to
drop the Russia investigation. Other key posts have sat empty for months,
including that of Ambassador to Australia, dubbed a ‘diplomatic insult’ by
former PM Tim Fischer.
America first, world last
Trump’s nationalistic foreign policy has seen the US take a
look at the international order and say on many issues: Nope.
He’s pulled the US out of the Paris climate agreement, Trans
Pacific Partnership, is sceptical of Iran’s nuclear deal, recognised Jerusalem
as Israel’s capital and has laid into key allies like UK PM Theresa May and
Malcolm Turnbull. While there are some positives, such as forcing NATO states
to boost their budget contributions, it’s also damaged US standing in the eyes
of the world.
A recent Gallup poll shows just 30 per cent of people
approve of the US under Trump, down from 48 per cent under Obama in 2016.
Washington think tank Freedom House said flouting ethical norms like refusing
to release tax returns and hiring his close family have damaged US credibility
on democratic standards.
Promises, promises
Some of Trump’s signature campaign promises have been
frustrated by Congress or the courts, including his travel ban for several
Muslim majority countries that was modified before being revised and instated.
Democrats are also demanding protection for “Dreamer” children of US immigrants
after Trump rolled back Obama’s program that granted them legal status.
Trump insists his border wall with Mexico will go ahead and
has linked it to NAFTA negotiations. He claims the plan has “never changed”
although “parts will be, of necessity, see through”.
Nuclear tensions
The threat of a nuclear war has been dialled up following
Kim Jong Un’s continued missile testing and Trump’s taunting tweets that have
marked an alarming new trend in Twitter-based diplomacy replete with insults
like “dotard” and “rocket man”.
Russian relations are at lows not seen since the Cold War
despite high hopes during the campaign. It comes against a backdrop of
increased military aggression, build up of NATO forces in eastern Europe and
draft plans to update the US nuclear arsenal.
‘You are fake news’
Trump’s Twitter attacks against individuals and the “fake
news” media marked the arrival of an ugly new political style that has created
a polarised and confused public.
It began within hours of his inauguration with a spat over
the size of the crowd. He has since labelled journalists among the ‘most
dishonest human beings on earth’, attacked a TV host as “dumb as a rock”,
retweeted anti-Muslim videos from far-right Britain First and referred to himself
as “like, really smart.”
Offline, he’s disparaged “shithole countries”, banned
transgender people from military service and backed child sexual assault accused
Roy Moore for a Senate run in Alabama. Meanwhile a number of women who have
accused Trump of sexual assault claim they have been forgotten despite the
#MeToo allegations taking over Hollywood.
Human Rights Watch director Kenneth Roth said Trump “has broken
all the taboos against racism, against misogyny, against xenophobia.” He also
singled him out for encouraging a new form of authoritarianism taking hold in
places like Russia, China, Turkey and the Philippines.
Fire and Fury
The explosive Michael Wolff book Trump’s lawyers sought to
block provided salacious details of inside the Trump presidency, dishing on
everything from the state of his marriage, bedroom to diet and hairdo. It
painted a picture of a chaotic and dysfunctional White House, where the
President watches cable news incessantly, eats nothing but fast food and spends
copious amounts of his day on “executive time”.
Trump has denied the portrayals but embarrassing expose has
led to a rift with Steve Bannon whom he now calls ‘Sloppy Steve’. It’s also
raised the question of how an unauthorised biographer was able to hang around
inside the White House for hours on end to gain his claimed access to Trump himself
and his inner circle.
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